NFL Draft position props present some interesting values: Best Bets for April 27

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Ohio State wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba speaks during a news conference at the NFL football scouting combine in Indianapolis, Friday, March 3, 2023. (AP Photo/Darron Cummings)

Each day, one of our experts will offer up a best bet (or two or three) that mobile sportsbooks are offering. It might be a traditional spread bet, a player prop or one of the various odds boosts that books offer.

Here are our best bets for Thursday, April 27:

TOP PLAY

The play: NFL Draft, tight end Michael Mayer’s draft position under 23.5

The odds: -160

The book: Caesars Sportsbook

Time/TV: Beginning at 8 p.m. across many platforms

Our take: Since 2010, eight tight ends have been drafted with pick 23 or higher, as we continue to watch the evolution of the position continue to grow in the NFL.

Thursday’s first round should be no different, where Notre Dame’s Mayer and Utah’s Dalton Kincaid are projected to go in the top 25 by most mock drafts (not that we believe every mock draft we read).

However, while many fans seem to like Kincaid over Mayer, the latter is -200 to be the first tight end to be taken, which means the oddsmakers know a little more than the average Joe Q. Public. With that, it would be a surprise to see the first tight end go off the board later than 23.

WIDE RECEIVER SPECIAL

The play: NFL Draft, wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba’s draft position under 12.5

The odds: +250

The book: FanDuel Sportsbook

Our take: There are plenty of quarterbacks and defensive players who will go early in this draft, but there also will be plenty of movement. One of those teams is going to want to jump ahead to get the consensus top receiver in this draft.

We also could see Smith-Njigba going as high as 7 to the Las Vegas Raiders, who certainly have a big need there.

This seems like one of the better positional values in the draft odds, at 2-1 for a player of his caliber.

HOW WE’VE FARED

Wednesday’s best bets

NBA playoffs money-line parlay: Cavaliers over Knicks and Grizzlies over Lakers (LOST)

PGA, Mexico Open: Wyndham Clark to finish in top 20 (PENDING)

Tuesday’s record: 0-1, 1 pending

Total for the week: 1-3, 1 pending

Total for April: 21-29, 1 pending

Total for 2023: 86-99, 1 pending

NOTE: If a line or odds are minus, it considers the juice one must lay to place the bet. Ex: Team A is -160 on the money line, one would have to bet $160 to win $100 (or $16 to win $10). OR Team B is a 5-point favorite at -110, one would have to bet $110 to win $100 (or $11 to win $10.)

Conversely, on positive lines, if Team C is +140 on the money line, $100 would bring in $140 (or $10 to win $14).

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