The point spreads of both NFL conference championship games Sunday are less than three points, and the lookahead lines suggest the Super Bowl will be the same. So it’s difficult to pick a champion — and equally difficult to predict the Super Bowl MVP. That’s reflected in the MVP market at FanDuel Sportsbook.
Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts is the +290 favorite to win MVP of the big game. The Eagles are +230 to win the Super Bowl, so the odds suggest that Hurts would be very likely to win the MVP in that case.
He is followed in very short order by Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (+300) and Cincinnati Bengals QB Joe Burrow (+340). The fourth remaining starting quarterback, Brock Purdy of the San Francisco 49ers, is +650.
Among non-quarterbacks, 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey has the best odds to be Super Bowl MVP at +1700. He’s followed by wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase, at +2400. Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce is +2800, followed by two more wide receivers, the 49ers’ Deebo Samuel at +2800 and the Eagles’ A.J. Brown at +3500. 49ers defensive end Nick Bosa is at +4900 and is the only defensive player lower than 60 to 1.
Last year, Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Cooper Kupp won the MVP, snapping a run of four quarterback winners in five years. In all, quarterbacks have won 31 of 56 MVP awards, with receivers next at eight MVP trophies and running backs/fullbacks at seven. McCaffrey could become the first running back to win MVP since the Denver Broncos’ Terrell Davis in Super Bowl XXXII in January 1998. Kelce would be the first tight end ever to win the award.
The award has gone to defensive players nine times, most recently to then-Broncos linebacker Von Miller at Super Bowl 50 in February 2016.
Super Bowl MVP odds
(From FanDuel Sportsbook as of Friday evening)
Jalen Hurts, Eagles QB +290
Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs QB +300
Joe Burrow, Bengals QB +340
Brock Purdy, 49ers QB +650
Christian McCaffrey, 49ers RB +1700
Ja’Marr Chase, Bengals WR +2400
Travis Kelce, Chiefs TE +2800
Deebo Samuel, 49ers WR +2800
A.J. Brown, Eagles WR +3500
Devonta Smith, Eagles WR +4500
Nick Bosa, 49ers DE +4900
Chad Henne, Chiefs QB +5000
George Kittle, 49ers TE +5500
Jimmy Garoppolo, 49ers QB +6500
Darius Slay, Eagles CB +8000
Brandon Aiyuk, 49ers WR +8500
Joe Mixon, Bengals RB +8500
Tee Higgins, Bengals WR +9000
Miles Sanders, Eagles RB +9500
JuJu Smith-Schuster, Chiefs WR +10000
Fred Warner, 49ers LB +10000
Haason Reddick, Eagles LB +11000
Brandon Graham, Eagles DE +12000
Sam Hubbard, Bengals DE +12000
Jessie Bates, Bengals S +13000
Dallas Goedert, Eagles TE +13000
Trey Hendrickson, Bengals DE +13000
Jerick McKinnon, Chiefs RB +13000
Isiah Pacheco, Chiefs RB +13000
Talanoa Hufanga, 49ers S +14000
Tyler Boyd, Bengals WR +15000
CJ Gardner-Johnson, Eagles S +20000
Quez Watkins, Eagles WR +20000
Kenneth Gainwell, Eagles RB +20000
Gardner Minshew, Eagles QB +20000