Eagles now Super Bowl favorites, but futures odds tight among four contenders

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Philadelphia Eagles cornerback Darius Slay (2), defensive tackle Fletcher Cox (91) and safety C.J. Gardner-Johnson (23) gesture toward spectators during the second half of an NFL divisional round playoff football game against the New York Giants, Saturday, Jan. 21, 2023, in Philadelphia. (AP Photo/Matt Slocum)

Both the NFC and AFC Championship matchups are set, and four remaining teams appear to be serious Super Bowl contenders as indicated by their similar futures odds.

The Chiefs and 49ers were the favorites to represent their conferences last week, but the odds have shifted to the Eagles and Bengals being slight favorites heading into Championship Sunday.

We’ll break down if there’s any value to be had with these updated Super Bowl 57 futures as well as take a look at the early Super Bowl MVP candidates.

Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook.

NFC

Philadelphia Eagles (+230 to win Super Bowl)

The Eagles delivered the most dominant effort in the divisional round after steamrolling the New York Giants, and it was so lopsided to where Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts didn’t have to test out his arm much. Hurts only threw 24 times, but he appeared to be past the shoulder injury that caused him to miss games down the stretch, and the oddsmakers must have seen enough to trust him considering that the Eagles are now the overall favorite to win Super Bowl 57. It also has to do with the fact that their defense is playing at an elite level, and while they’ve clearly got the talent to win it all, the value is gone for those looking to bet on them to do so.

San Francisco 49ers (+320 to win Super Bowl)

It was ugly, but the 49ers found a way to get past the Dallas Cowboys in the divisional round thanks to their dominant defense combined with the poor decision-making of Dak Prescott and Mike McCarthy. The 49ers will almost certainly need more from their offense this week against an Eagles team that could present trouble even for the 49ers’ elite stop unit. While rookie quarterback Brock Purdy struggled at times, he didn’t make the costly mistakes like Prescott, and he’s got plenty of weapons at his disposal to where the 49ers shouldn’t be taken lightly as underdogs. Hurts is also lacking in postseason experience, so there appears to be value with the 49ers at +330 even though they’ve got the worst quarterback situation among the final four teams, as they’ve got the No. 1-ranked defense and have talented playmakers on offense.

Kickoff for the 49ers at Eagles is set for Sunday, Jan. 29 at 3 p.m.: See NFC Championship odds here

AFC

Cincinnati Bengals (+250 to win Super Bowl)

The Bengals had been undervalued throughout the postseason up until now, as the oddsmakers are finally giving them proper respect after they went on the road and trounced the Buffalo Bills as six-point underdogs. Joe Burrow and the offense are doing their part, but it’s the Bengals’ defense that’s been the difference-maker much like during their Super Bowl run last year. They opened as underdogs to the Chiefs in the AFC Championship Game, but the uncertainty surrounding Chiefs star quarterback Patrick Mahomes due to an ankle has caused the Bengals to become AFC favorites. The value is gone though in their Super Bowl odds as a result, as they saw by far the most dramatic shift from last week after being an absolute bargain at +800.

Kansas City Chiefs (+280 to win Super Bowl)

The Chiefs did their part in the divisional round despite failing to cover against the Jacksonville Jaguars, but Patrick Mahomes getting injured was the nightmare scenario that the Chiefs dread considering how dependent they are on him leading their high-powered offense. Luckily the ankle injury Mahomes suffered doesn’t appear to be as serious as many feared, as he’s expected to play through it this week. It will be a tough task considering Mahomes has never beaten the Bengals with Joe Burrow in his career, but there appears to be value for those who believe that he’s healthy enough to break through or that Chad Henne could step again in relief, as the Chiefs’ Super Bowl odds are basically unchanged from last week.

Kickoff for Bengals at Chiefs is set for Sunday, Jan. 29 at 6:30 p.m.: See AFC Championship odds here

SUPER BOWL MVP FAVORITES (TOP 10)

Eagles QB Jalen Hurts (+290)

Bengals QB Joe Burrow (+330)

Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes (+330)

49ers QB Brock Purdy (+650)

49ers RB Christian McCaffrey (+1700)

Bengals WR Ja’Marr Chase (+2400)

49ers WR Deebo Samuel (+2800)

Chiefs TE Travis Kelce (+2800)

Eagles WR A.J. Brown (+3500)

Eagles WR Devonta Smith (+4500)

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