NFL Week 13 early teaser and a Titans player prop: Best Bets for Sunday (Dec. 4)

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Tennessee Titans running back Derrick Henry (22) during an NFL football game Thursday, Nov. 17, 2022, in Green Bay, Wis. (AP Photo/Mike Roemer)

Each day, one of our experts will offer up a best bet (or two or three) that mobile sportsbooks are offering. It might be a traditional spread bet, a player prop or one of the various odds boosts that books offer.

Here are our best bets for Sunday, Dec. 4:

TOP PLAY

The play: NFL teaser, Browns -2 over Texans and Titans +10.5 over Eagles

The odds/bet: -120 ($36 to win $30)

Teaser explanation: At most books, a bettor can parlay two teams in a “teaser” and get 6 points of cushion for each bet. However, it costs -120 to play and – like a parlay – both legs must hit to cash the ticket.

The book: Caesars Sportsbook

Time/TV: Both games Sunday at 1 p.m. Browns at Texans (CBS); Titans at Eagles (FOX)

Our take: We had to change this teaser from our weekly NFL picks column, as some lines have changed drastically since Tuesday, including the former second leg here which was Baltimore at -2. However, the Ravens are now -9.5, which means -3.5 in a teaser is a no-go.

We’ll swap them out with Tennessee, which goes through key numbers 7 and 10 against an Eagles team we wouldn’t be surprised if they beat straight up. The Titans have lost just three games by double digits since the start of last season, and it would be tough to see them get blown out here.

That especially is the case – and you’ll hear more about this in our second bet – for Titans running back Derrick Henry against the 18th-ranked rushing defense that has given up 106 or more yards on the ground in six of their past seven games and more than 140 in three of those.

For the Browns, we’re not necessarily putting a whole lot of stock in the return of Deshaun Watson, but we are putting a ton of faith in the Cleveland running game, which should go hog wild against the worst rushing defense in the NFL. And in a teaser, the Browns go through the 7 and the 3 – just needing to win by more than 2.

NFL PLAYER PROP

The play: Titans running back Derrick Henry to rush for more than 85.5 yards

The odds/bet: -120 ($12 to win $10)

The book: BetMGM

Our take: We’ve already told you about Philly’s mediocre defense, and Henry is due for a breakout game after going for just 38 yards last week against Cincinnati. Prior to that game, he rushed for more than 85 yards in six of his previous seven games with the one stinker against a ridiculously tough Broncos defense.

If Tennessee is going to have a chance to win, Coach Mike Vrabel knows he’ll have to lean on Henry all he can.

HOW WE’VE FARED

Saturday’s best bets

World Cup soccer: Netherlands to score in second half over USA (WON $30)

College football money line: Kansas State over TCU (WON $11)

Saturday’s profit/loss: +$41 (2-0)

Total for the week: +$201.90 (10-2)

Total for December: +$60 (4-2)

Total for 2022: +$432.40 (318-332)

NOTE: If a line or odds are minus, it considers the juice one must lay to place the bet. Ex: Team A is -160 on the money line, one would have to bet $160 to win $100 (or $16 to win $10). OR Team B is a 5-point favorite at -110, one would have to bet $110 to win $100 (or $11 to win $10.)

Conversely, on positive lines, if Team C is +140 on the money line, a $100 would bring in $140 (or $10 to win $14).

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