Upset in Padres-Dodgers’ Game 2 at Chavez Ravine? Best Bets for Oct. 12

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San Diego Padres' Yu Darvish walks to the dugout prior to Game 1 of the NL Division Series against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Tuesday, Oct. 11, 2022, in Los Angeles. He’ll start Game 2 on Wednesday against Clayton Kershaw.

Each day, one of our experts will offer up a best bet (or two or three) that mobile sportsbooks are offering. It might be a traditional spread bet, a player prop or one of the various odds boosts that books offer.

Here are our best bets for Wednesday, Oct. 12:

TOP PLAY

The play: MLB playoffs money line, Padres to defeat Dodgers in Game 2

The odds/bet: +165 ($24 to win $39.60)

The book: WynnBet

Time/TV: 8:30 p.m. (FS1)

Our take: Really, if the Padres have any shot at all to win this series (or maybe even avoid getting swept), they HAVE to win this one with their ace, Yu Darvish on the mound. On the other side, while Clayton Kershaw has been outstanding since missing nearly the entire month of August, there’s a good chance Dave Roberts isn’t going to go past the fifth with him in there.

That, and Kershaw simply hasn’t been all that great in the playoffs throughout his career with a 4.19 ERA and a 13-12 record in 37 appearances.

Darvish’s overall postseason numbers are similar to Kershaw, but that’s mostly skewed because of two poor performances when he was with the Dodgers against Houston in the 2017 World Series. He was great in 2020 with the Cubs against the Marlins, and last week, he shut down the Mets, pitching seven innings of one-run ball with four strikeouts to no walks.

The overall value alone here says to take the Padres, and we’ll roll with it, as we try to keep our hot October rolling.

VALUE BET/ TOTAL/MONEY LINE/PLAYER PROP

The play: PGA, Zozo Championship in Tokyo, Collin Morikawa to finish in the top 10

The odds/bet: +120 ($10 to win $12)

The book: BetMGM

Time/TV: Tournament tees off at 7:50 p.m. Wednesday; TV coverage begins Wednesday at 11 p.m. on Golf Channel and will run through the weekend.

Our take: This is an Uncle Big Nick special, as he says Morikawa finished 22nd and seventh at this course and “contended at the Olympics in a similar-style course.”

He added: “They played here twice at this course, and it’s a pure ball-striker course. Tiger (Woods) and Hideki (Matsuyama) won here. (Morikawa is) one of the best in the world at ball striking in soggy conditions. And here, weather could make it easy for him to throw darts. Coming off a disappointing year.”

HOW WE’VE FARED

Tuesday’s results

MLB playoffs line: Dodgers -1.5 runs over Padres (WON $30)

MLB playoffs total: Guardians at Yankees over 7 runs (LOST $10)

Tuesday’s profit/loss: +$20 (1-1)

Total for the week: +$48.50 (2-2)

Total for October: +$209.20 (14-5)

Total for 2022: +$8.50 (259-288)

NOTE: If a line or odds are minus, it considers the juice one must lay to place the bet. Ex: Team A is -160 on the money line, one would have to bet $160 to win $100 (or $16 to win $10). OR Team B is a 5-point favorite at -110, one would have to bet $110 to win $100 (or $11 to win $10.)

Conversely, on positive lines, if Team C is +140 on the money line, a $100 would bring in $140 (or $10 to win $14).

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