Rockies at Brewers run total play, plus a K prop parlay: Aug. 7 best bets

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Milwaukee Brewers starting pitcher Freddy Peralta throws during the first inning of a baseball game against the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park, Tuesday, Aug. 1, 2023, in Washington. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)

Each day, one of our experts will offer up a best bet (or two or three) that mobile sportsbooks are offering. It might be a traditional spread bet, a player prop or one of the various odds boosts that books offer.

A reminder for those who haven’t signed up yet: New users can get a no sweat first bet at FanDuel Sportsbook, meaning that if your first bet loses, you can get up to $1,000 back in bonus bets.

Here are our best bets for Monday, Aug. 7:

TOP PLAY

The play: Rockies at Brewers UNDER 8.5 runs

The odds/bet: -115 ($34.50 to win $30)

The book: Caesars Sportsbook

Time/TV: 8:10 p.m. (MLB Extra Innings)

Our take: This run total appears low for a Rockies matchup, but the bottom line is that the Rockies lineup has struggled to score runs this season, especially on the road.

The Brewers lineup has also had its share of struggles, and they’ve got one of their top pitchers on the mound in Freddy Peralta, who’s been pitching well down the stretch and should thrive tonight.

Rockies starting pitcher Peter Lambert has struggled throughout the season, but he’s been much better on the road and should be able to pitch well enough to keep the total under 8.5.

PERALTA-WEBB K PROP

The play: Brewers SP Freddy Peralta OVER 8.5 strikeouts vs. Rockies, Giants SP Logan Webb OVER 6.6 strikeouts at Angels

The odds/bet: +305 ($10 to win $30.50)

The book: Caesars Sportsbook

Time/TV: Rockies at Brewers 8:10 p.m., Giants at Angels 9:38 p.m. (MLB Extra Innings)

Our take: We’re doubling on Freddy Peralta having a strong outing, as he’s been striking out batters at a high clip since the All-Star break.

The Rockies are among the most strikeout prone lineups in MLB, so we’ll bank on Peralta going deep into the game and striking out nine or more.

As for Logan Webb, he hasn’t been missing bats quite as well lately, but he’s more than capable of doing so and draws a plus matchup against an Angels lineup that has plenty of dead weight.

HOW WE’VE FARED

Sunday’s best bets

  • PGA Wyndham Championship, Russell Henley to finish in the top 20 (WON $34.50)
  • PAG Wyndam Championship: Aaron Rai to finish in the top 20 (LOST $10)
  • English Community Shield, Manchester City money line over Arsenal (LOST $39)
  • Women’s World Cup, USA to win 1-0, 2-0 or 3-0 (LOST $10)
  • Women’s World Cup, Sophia Smith anytime goalscorer (LOST $5)

Sunday’s profit/loss: -$29.50 (1-4)

Final total for the week: +$20.50 (8-8)

Total for August: -$30 (6-8)

Total for 2023: -$580 (180-202)

NOTE: If a line or odds are minus, it considers the juice one must lay to place the bet. Ex: Team A is -160 on the money line, one would have to bet $160 to win $100 (or $16 to win $10). OR Team B is a 5-point favorite at -110, one would have to bet $110 to win $100 (or $11 to win $10.)

Conversely, on positive lines, if Team C is +140 on the money line, $100 would bring in $140 (or $10 to win $14).

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