Each day, one of our experts will offer up a best bet (or two or three) that mobile sportsbooks are offering. It might be a traditional spread bet, a player prop or one of the various odds boosts that books offer.
Here are our best bets for Sunday, July 30:
TOP PLAY
The play: Women’s World Cup, Germany -1.5 goals vs. Colombia
The odds: -115
The book: Caesars Sportsbook
Time/TV: 5:30 a.m. (Fox Sports 1)
Our take: Germany is a whopping -450 favorite in this contest at Caesars Sportsbook. There’s no point in backing Die Nationalelf to win outright with those odds, but there is some value in predicting them to win by 2+ goals at -115.
The No. 2 ranked team in the world is now +550 — the third-best odds in the field — to lift the 2023 FIFA Women’s World Cup after it put six goals past Morocco earlier in the week. Germany did not come to this World Cup to mess around, as it showed on matchday one.
Martina Voss-Tecklenburg’s side had multiple unique goalscorers in the match and that’s perhaps where the biggest threat is for Colombia. Whereas Los Cafeteros needed a penalty and a goalkeeping error to find the net against South Korea, Germany is clinical across the board.
Colombia undoubtedly poses a much bigger threat than Morocco, especially when you factor in the team’s physicality. Still, that doesn’t mean it can keep Alexandra Popp and Co. out for an extended period of time. Die Nationalelf has enough quality to put a few goals past Colombia and take an insurmountable lead atop Group H heading into the final matchday of the group stages.
FOOTBALL FERNS TO FACE DEFEAT
The play: Women’s World Cup, Switzerland -0.5 goals vs. New Zealand
The odds: +115
The book: Caesars Sportsbook
Time/TV: 3 a.m. (Fox)
Our take: New Zealand was a long shot to win the 2023 FIFA Women’s World Cup coming in, especially when you compare its odds (+15000) to its co-host Australia’s (+1200). However, when the Football Ferns stunned Norway to open their tournament, there was hope they could at least get out of Group A.
The New Zealand faithful were swiftly brought back down to Earth on matchday two, though, when their side was beaten by the Philippines. Now, New Zealand must beat the group’s best team, Switzerland, to control its destiny.
This will prove to be a tough task as La Nati have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches. The Swiss are slight favorites to pick up all three points (+109), but if you believe Inka Grings’ side will win, you can find better odds picking it to cover the goal spread at +115.
Switzerland is more battle-tested having gone through the European qualifiers to get to the World Cup. There is also more experience within its ranks, which has resulted in more consistent performances during the tournament. New Zealand will be in front of home support, but we don’t believe they have enough to eventually control their own destiny.
HOW WE’VE FARED
Women’s World Cup: Jamaica money line over Panama (WON)
Women’s World Cup: Sweden money line over Italy (WON)
UFC 291: Alex Pereira to defeat Jan Blachowicz (WON/LOST)
Saturday’s record: 3-0
Total for the week: 6-7
Total for July: 24-29
Total for 2023: 174-192
NOTE: If a line or odds are minus, it considers the juice one must lay to place the bet. Ex: Team A is -160 on the money line, one would have to bet $160 to win $100 (or $16 to win $10). OR Team B is a 5-point favorite at -110, one would have to bet $110 to win $100 (or $11 to win $10.)
Conversely, on positive lines, if Team C is +140 on the money line, $100 would bring in $140 (or $10 to win $14).
