Hawks-Heat NBA Play-In spread play, plus an MLB run total: Best bets for April 11

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Miami Heat guard Victor Oladipo (4) goes up for a shot against Atlanta Hawks forward Onyeka Okongwu (17) and guard Bogdan Bogdanovic (13) during the second half of an NBA basketball game, Monday, March 6, 2023, in Miami. (AP Photo/Wilfredo Lee)

Each day, one of our experts will offer up a best bet (or two or three) that mobile sportsbooks are offering. It might be a traditional spread bet, a player prop or one of the various odds boosts that books offer.

Here are our best bets for Tuesday, April 11:

TOP PLAY

The play: NBA Play-In Tournament: Heat (-5) over Hawks

The odds: -108

The book: FanDuel Sportsbook

Time/TV: 7:30 p.m. (TNT)

Our take: Both the Miami Heat and the Atlanta Hawks expected to avoid the NBA Play-In Tournament before the season, but they ended up with disappointing records due to their struggles on the road.

We’re riding with the Heat at home as a result, as both the Heat and Hawks have nearly identical home and road records, and the Hawks have scuffled down the stretch due to Trae Young’s inconsistency.

The Heat are almost back to full health and will see leading scorer Jimmy Butler return, so they should be able to cover the spread as the more complete team with a home-court advantage.

BREWERS-DIAMONDBACKS TOTAL

The play: MLB: Brewers at Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 runs

The odds: -102

The book: FanDuel Sportsbook

Time/TV: 9:40 p.m. (MLB Extra Innings)

Our take: The Milwaukee Brewers are off to an excellent start this season, but it hasn’t been because of ace starting pitcher Corbin Burnes.

Burnes has struggled so far in 2023 through two starts, but he has an excellent opportunity to bounce back tonight against a Diamondbacks lineup that’s not as tough as the previous two lineups that he’s faced.

The Diamondbacks likely won’t score many runs in this one, so we like the under since the Brewers could struggle to score too against a solid veteran arm for the Diamondbacks in Merrill Kelly.

HOW WE’VE FARED

Monday’s best bets

  • MLB: Angels (-1.5) over Nationals (LOST)
  • MLB: Yankees (money line) over Guardians (LOST)

Monday’s record: 0-2

Total for the week: -$49 (0-2)

Total for April: 7-13

Total for 2023: 72-83

NOTE: If a line or odds are minus, it considers the juice one must lay to place the bet. Ex: Team A is -160 on the money line, one would have to bet $160 to win $100 (or $16 to win $10). OR Team B is a 5-point favorite at -110, one would have to bet $110 to win $100 (or $11 to win $10.)

Conversely, on positive lines, if Team C is +140 on the money line, $100 would bring in $140 (or $10 to win $14).

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