Will total trend continue with Grizzlies home vs. Blazers? Best Bets for Wednesday (Feb. 1)

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Memphis Grizzlies guard Ja Morant (12) reacts in the second half of an NBA basketball game against the Indiana Pacers, Sunday, Jan. 29, 2023, in Memphis, Tenn. (AP Photo/Brandon Dill)

Each day, one of our experts will offer up a best bet (or two or three) that mobile sportsbooks are offering. It might be a traditional spread bet, a player prop or one of the various odds boosts that books offer.

Here are our best bets for Wednesday, Feb. 1:

TOP PLAY

The play: NBA total, Trail Blazers at Grizzlies under 239

The odds: -110

The book: FanDuel Sportsbook

Time/TV: 7:10 p.m. (NBA League Pass)

Our take: Memphis is second in the Western Conference for a reason: They have dictated the pace for much of the season. And despite ending a five-game losing streak Sunday at home against Indiana, they have allowed 112 points or fewer in six of their past eight games.

In other words, if the Grizzlies win (-225), there’s great value on this total, as they have played to the under in six consecutive games, and the books have not quite adjusted yet.

The last time these two teams met in November, the total was 227.5 and it still went under in a 111-106 Memphis victory.

NCAA MEN’S TOTAL

The play: Men’s college basketball total, Villanova at Marquette over 145.5

The odds: -110

The book: FanDuel Sportsbook

Time/TV: 8:30 p.m. (FS1)

Our take: These teams have been all over the place (pardon the pun) when it comes to totals this season, but a couple of things stick out on why we like to fade the public here in their rare moment of going with an under.

Marquette games not only have gone over in 13 of 22 games this season, but they have gone over 10 of 12 times when the total is set at 145 or more. They also have played to the over in seven of nine games when they have had at least four days rest.

Meanwhile, the Wildcats seem to play to the style of their opponent and play a ton of tight games. They have allowed 70 or more points in five of their past six games and a few weeks ago lost to Xavier, 88-80.

HOW WE’VE FARED

Tuesday’s best bets

NBA: Clippers -3 over Bulls (WON)

NBA: Bucks -11 over Hornets (LOST)

Tuesday’s record: 1-1

Total for the week: 2-2

Total for January: 25-34

Total for 2023: 25-34

NOTE: If a line or odds are minus, it considers the juice one must lay to place the bet. Ex: Team A is -160 on the money line, one would have to bet $160 to win $100 (or $16 to win $10). OR Team B is a 5-point favorite at -110, one would have to bet $110 to win $100 (or $11 to win $10.)

Conversely, on positive lines, if Team C is +140 on the money line, a $100 would bring in $140 (or $10 to win $14).

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