Finding value with an NBA underdog and a chalk favorite: Best bets for Jan. 30

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Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander drives against Cleveland Cavaliers forward Lamar Stevens during the second half of an NBA basketball game Friday, Jan. 27, 2023, in Oklahoma City. (AP Photo/Nate Billings)

Each day, one of our experts will offer up a best bet (or two or three) that mobile sportsbooks are offering. It might be a traditional spread bet, a player prop or one of the various odds boosts that books offer.

Here are our best bets for Monday, Jan. 30:

TOP PLAY

The play: NBA, Thunder (+5) over Warriors

The odds/bet: -110 ($27.50 to win $25)

The book: Caesars Sportsbook

Time/TV: 8 p.m. (NBA League Pass)

Our take: The Oklahoma City Thunder have been one of several pleasant surprises in the Western Conference this season to where they pose a threat to the defending champion Golden State Warriors tonight.

The Warriors haven’t had the season they were hoping for after dealing with injuries, and while they’re back healthy and trending up, the Thunder have a solid young core that’s been keeping them in almost every game led by emerging young star Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.

The Thunder could win outright being at home, but we’ll play it safe and take the points since they should at least be able to keep it close considering the Warriors have consistently struggled on the road.

Wizards to cover

The play: NBA, Wizards (-6) over Spurs

The odds/bet: -110 ($16.50 to win $15)

The book: Caesars Sportsbook

Time/TV: 8 p.m. (NBA League Pass)

Our take: The NBA has seen more parody than usual this season, but there are still a handful of teams that have struggled to compete most nights, and the San Antonio Spurs are one of them.

The Spurs have played especially poorly as of late having lost their last five games, and things won’t get any easier for them tonight against a Washington Wizards team that’s won five in a row and will see one of their top players return in Kristaps Porzingis.

While the Spurs are at home, it likely won’t matter against a healthy Wizards team that should be able to win handily with their go-to scorers back healthy in Porzingis and Bradley Beal.

HOW WE’VE FARED

Sunday’s best bets

  • NFL: San Francisco 49ers money line over Philadelphia Eagles (LOST $22.73)
  • NFL Parlay: Jerick McKinnon and Joe Burrow to score a touchdown (LOST $5)

Sunday’s profit/loss: -$27.73 (0-2)

Final total for the week: -$117.63 (3-10)

Total for January: -$163.43 (23-32)

Total for 2023: -$163.43 (23-32)

NOTE: If a line or odds are minus, it considers the juice one must lay to place the bet. Ex: Team A is -160 on the money line, one would have to bet $160 to win $100 (or $16 to win $10). OR Team B is a 5-point favorite at -110, one would have to bet $110 to win $100 (or $11 to win $10.)

Conversely, on positive lines, if Team C is +140 on the money line, $100 would bring in $140 (or $10 to win $14).

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